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Lawmakers and critics are once again raising concerns about prediction markets after reports surfaced of traders profiting from geopolitical events that appear to be timed with unusual precision.

Blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain identified a group of four wallets that collectively earned about 663,000 dollars by betting on a United States and Iran ceasefire happening by April 7.

What drew attention was not only the profits but also how the trades were executed.

Most of the wallets were newly created on the same day the bets were placed and had no prior transaction history. They entered positions predicting “yes” outcomes just hours before the ceasefire took effect, when market odds suggested a very low probability ranging between 2.9 percent and 10.3 percent. At the time, most participants did not expect such an outcome.

The timing and lack of trading history have led to speculation about whether the wagers were based on non public information. This case adds to growing scrutiny around prediction platforms where users can place bets on geopolitical developments before official confirmation.

Similar concerns have surfaced in earlier incidents. One report described a trader who allegedly made nearly 1 million dollars in profit since 2024 by repeatedly timing bets linked to United States and Israeli military actions involving Iran. That trader reportedly maintained a success rate of 93 percent on high value trades and appeared to position ahead of major events before they were publicly known.

Another case involved a user known as “Magamyman,” who reportedly earned more than 553,000 dollars by betting on outcomes tied to Iran and its leadership, including Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. These trades were placed shortly before a confirmed Israeli strike on February 28, 2026, which reportedly resulted in Khamenei’s death. Critics and lawmakers argued that such outcomes raise concerns about whether sensitive information is being used for profit on these platforms.

In February, authorities in Israel also charged an Israel Defense Forces reservist and a civilian over allegations that classified military information was used to place bets on a prediction market platform.

Despite growing controversy, prediction markets continue to expand in popularity. Investment firm Bitwise recently filed for prediction market exchange traded funds. Its chief investment officer Matt Hougan said insider trading should not be accepted in any market, but argued that the presence of misconduct should lead to stronger enforcement rather than shutting the markets down.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Six major banks in Switzerland are preparing to test a stablecoin linked to the Swiss franc, according to a report from UBS citing Reuters.

The participating institutions include PostFinance, Sygnum, Raiffeisen, ZKB, BCV, and UBS itself. Together, they plan to explore practical applications for a Swiss franc based digital currency.

The project will involve a secure live testing environment, often referred to as a sandbox, where the banks will experiment with how blockchain applications can interact with the Swiss franc in real world scenarios.

In a statement, UBS explained that the initiative is intended to evaluate possible use cases for a CHF stablecoin within Switzerland. The goal is to improve integration between blockchain technology and traditional finance while also strengthening the country’s digital money ecosystem and enhancing the global competitiveness of Switzerland’s financial sector.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

After several days of escalating tensions, the United States and Iran agreed to a two week cease fire, creating an opportunity to negotiate a long term peace agreement.

Financial markets reacted quickly, though not uniformly. Assets such as Bitcoin, gold, and equities moved higher, while oil prices dropped sharply after previously surging during the conflict.

Oil experienced the most dramatic swings due to the strategic importance of the region. At the start of the conflict on February 28, prices were below 70 dollars per barrel, but they climbed rapidly to 120 dollars within about a week. Volatility continued in the following weeks as tensions escalated and infrastructure became a target.

Fresh threats from Donald Trump, including potential strikes on Iran’s power plants and bridges, pushed oil prices higher again toward the end of last week and the start of the current one. A particularly alarming statement warning that an entire civilization could be destroyed led Iran to withdraw from negotiations temporarily.

However, just hours later, Trump announced on his social platform that both sides had agreed to a temporary cease fire. The agreement included Iran ensuring safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz. He also revealed that the United States had received a ten point proposal from Iran, describing it as a workable foundation for further talks.

He stated that most major disagreements had already been resolved and that the two week period would allow both sides to finalize the agreement. He later added that the United States would assist in easing congestion in the Strait of Hormuz and expressed optimism about significant economic opportunities in the region.

Oil prices responded immediately by falling sharply. USOIL dropped from 117 dollars to below 92 dollars before recovering slightly to around 95 dollars. Even with this decline, prices remain about 40 percent higher than before the conflict began.

Other financial markets showed strong upward movement. Bitcoin surged from just above 68,000 dollars to nearly 73,000 dollars, reaching a three week high before settling around 72,000 dollars. Ethereum rose by nearly 7 percent to trade close to 2,250 dollars. Other cryptocurrencies such as XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin also recorded gains of more than 4 percent.

Gold prices climbed significantly, approaching 4,900 dollars for the first time in three weeks after rising from 4,650 dollars. Meanwhile, futures tied to the S&P 500 increased by more than 2.5 percent and are now close to reaching a new record high.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Amid an increasingly competitive artificial intelligence landscape, Anthropic has introduced a new initiative called Glasswing, built around its latest model, Claude Mythos Preview. The project reflects both technological ambition and a deliberate focus on caution.

Glasswing is designed to advance understanding of complex AI systems and is closely tied to a newly developed model that the company has chosen not to release to the general public.

Unlike many modern AI tools that are widely accessible, Claude Mythos Preview is intentionally restricted. Through the Glasswing initiative, access is being granted only to select organizations such as Amazon Web Services, Apple, Google, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Linux Foundation, among others. According to Anthropic, the goal is to strengthen the security of critical global software systems.

This limited release highlights a growing challenge in the tech industry, which is finding the right balance between rapid innovation and responsible deployment. Anthropic is taking a measured approach by prioritizing in depth research and evaluation before broader adoption.

The company revealed that Mythos Preview has already identified thousands of serious vulnerabilities, including issues affecting major operating systems and web browsers. The model is not only designed for performance but also for interpretability, meaning it can be closely studied to better understand how it works. To support this effort, Anthropic has committed up to 100 million dollars in usage credits for participating partners and plans to share insights gained from the project.

At the core of Glasswing is the mission to uncover hidden software weaknesses using advanced AI capabilities. Many of the detected flaws are zero day vulnerabilities, which were previously unknown to developers and could pose significant security risks.

One notable discovery includes a 27 year old vulnerability in OpenBSD, a system widely regarded for its strong security and often used in critical infrastructure. The flaw allowed attackers to remotely crash affected machines simply by establishing a connection.

Overall, Glasswing signals a shift in how AI development is being approached. Instead of focusing solely on releasing more powerful systems, Anthropic is placing emphasis on understanding and securing them before wider deployment.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

XRP emerged as the top performer among digital asset investment products, recording the largest weekly inflows and outperforming the broader market. Meanwhile, Bitcoin showed signs of recovery after a slow start to the month.

Investment products tied to XRP attracted 119.6 million dollars in inflows, marking their strongest weekly performance since December 2025. This surge pushed its year to date total to 159 million dollars, representing about 7 percent of total assets under management.

Market sentiment, however, remains divided. Bitcoin brought in 107.3 million dollars, offering some relief, but overall monthly flows still show net outflows of 145 million dollars. At the same time, about 16 million dollars moved into short Bitcoin products, the highest level seen since mid November 2025, highlighting ongoing uncertainty among investors.

Solana maintained steady growth with 34.9 million dollars in weekly inflows, bringing its yearly share to around 10 percent of managed assets. Multi asset investment products saw a modest increase of 1.8 million dollars. In contrast, Ethereum experienced outflows of 52.8 million dollars as investors reacted to concerns surrounding the Clarity Act.

Overall, digital asset investment products recorded a moderate recovery, adding 224 million dollars خلال the week, according to the latest report from CoinShares. Despite this improvement, stronger than expected retail sales data, expectations of tighter economic policies, and uncertain geopolitical conditions weighed on momentum toward the end of the week.

Regionally, Switzerland led with 157.5 million dollars in inflows. Germany and Canada followed with 27.7 million and 11.2 million dollars respectively. The United States recorded 27.5 million dollars, while Brazil posted a smaller gain of 2 million dollars. On the other hand, Netherlands and Sweden saw outflows of 1.2 million and 0.9 million dollars.

From a broader perspective, rising geopolitical tensions near Iran and pressure around the Strait of Hormuz are limiting expectations for policy easing. In this environment, Bitcoin continues to trade within a narrow range.

Analysts at Bitunix noted that the 69,800 level represents a significant resistance zone due to concentrated short liquidations and liquidity. A sustained move above this level would indicate renewed investor confidence. On the downside, the 66,000 to 65,000 range acts as a support zone, where accumulated long liquidations could help stabilize prices. Repeated tests of resistance without a breakout suggest that investors remain cautious, focusing on short term opportunities rather than committing to a clear directional trend.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.nethttps://t.me/coinsignalpublic

The stablecoin sector has expanded rapidly in recent years, growing nearly sixty times in market value since 2020. It is increasingly seen as a key component of future global financial systems, and Morph aims to play a major role in that transformation.

In its State of Stablecoins report, Morph outlines major trends shaping the sector, including rising transaction volumes and long term projections. The company also revealed plans to capitalize on this momentum through a new payment accelerator initiative.

The report explains that stablecoins have moved beyond their early use as speculative instruments and are now widely integrated into global payment systems. From 2020 to 2026, the total market capitalization climbed to around 320 billion dollars, after sitting near 312 billion dollars at the end of 2025. Annual transaction volume has reached at least 33 trillion dollars, exceeding the combined totals processed by Visa and Mastercard.

Morph also highlights that stablecoins are no longer used mainly by crypto traders. Their role in real world economic activity continues to expand, with more institutions and businesses adopting blockchain based payment systems. This trend is reflected in monthly transaction volumes, which surpassed 1.25 trillion dollars in August 2025, alongside a 53 percent increase in wallet numbers to over 30 million.

Business to business payments using stablecoins have also grown significantly. Monthly volumes rose from under 100 million dollars in early 2023 to more than 6 billion dollars by mid 2025. These transactions now account for about 226 billion dollars, representing 60 percent of identifiable real economy stablecoin activity.

Additionally, 41 percent of institutional users report saving at least 10 percent in costs by using stablecoins, reinforcing their efficiency compared to traditional payment systems.

Looking ahead, Morph expects emerging economies to begin recognizing private stablecoins as legal tender alongside national currencies by 2028. More than half of organizations, particularly large corporations, are already planning to implement stablecoin based solutions within the next year.

The company projects that the total stablecoin market could surpass 1.9 trillion dollars by 2030. It also anticipates that artificial intelligence driven systems may become the leading source of transaction activity by 2027, while SWIFT is expected to integrate stablecoin capabilities to remain competitive.

To position itself within this rapidly evolving space, Morph has launched a 150 million dollar Payment Accelerator program, supported by Bitget. The initiative is designed to help businesses scale high volume payment solutions built on stablecoin infrastructure.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

A new startup support initiative focused on the XRP Ledger has been introduced through a partnership between Seoul FinTech Lab and XRPL Korea. The program is designed to help innovators transform their ideas into fully developed businesses built on the XRPL.

According to a report by Korea Startup Post, the initiative is called the Korea Financial Innovation Program 2026. Ripple is serving as the main sponsor, alongside about 21 partner organizations that include venture capital firms and accelerators. These partners aim to connect South Korea’s blockchain ecosystem with global opportunities.

The program will run for three months. Applications and preliminary screening will take place from April 1 to May 6. From there, 12 selected teams will move into the main phase scheduled between May 4 and May 13. The final event will be held on June 25 at Two IFC The Forum in Seoul’s Yeouido district. Both individuals and teams are eligible to apply.

Ahead of the main program, organizers will host a series of online sessions throughout April covering technical onboarding and market trends. An in person briefing and insight session is also scheduled for April 22.

Participants will receive a range of support services during the program, including business consulting, blockchain mentoring, and networking opportunities. Additional benefits include legal guidance, investment evaluations, and invitations to international conferences. Teams may also gain access to residency at Seoul FinTech Lab.

A dedicated community platform called Milgram will provide educational materials on XRPL technology, along with resources on business growth, regulatory developments, and personalized consulting. Individual applicants may be matched with teams, and those who advance will receive assistance in attracting investment.

At the conclusion of the program, the top team will be awarded 5 million Korean won, which is about 3,340 dollars. Second and third place teams will receive 3 million and 2 million won respectively. Special awards of 1 million won each will be presented by partners such as Toss and the Korea Fintech Industry Association. In addition, Bae Kim and Lee will provide legal advisory services valued at 6 million won per year to the top two teams.

The total prize pool amounts to 32 million Korean won, or about 21,390 dollars. Beyond the financial rewards, XRPL Korea will also offer participants a pathway to the XRPL Grants program, which can provide funding support of up to 200,000 dollars.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Polygon is set to introduce its Giugliano hard fork on the mainnet on April 8, with activation expected around 2:00 PM UTC at block 85,268,500, according to the Polygon Foundation. The upgrade is designed to enhance how quickly transactions become final and irreversible.

Giugliano Hard Fork Enhancements

The upgrade brings several performance improvements. Block producers will be able to announce new blocks earlier in the validation process, helping reduce confirmation times across the network. In addition, fee parameters will now be included directly in block headers, while new RPC features will make it easier for developers and users to access fee related data and better manage transaction costs.

Testing on the Amoy testnet showed promising results, with finality times reduced by about two seconds.

To prepare for the transition, node operators must upgrade their systems before the activation point. This includes updating Bor to version 2.7.0 or Erigon to version 3.5.0. Nodes that do not update risk becoming unsynchronized with the network once the upgrade is implemented.

The Giugliano hard fork is part of Polygon’s broader Gigagas scaling plan, which focuses on gradually increasing throughput and improving efficiency. By July, the roadmap aims for around 1,000 transactions per second, finality times near five seconds, and more stable transaction fees.

Future goals include surpassing 5,000 transactions per second by October, improving cross chain liquidity through Agglayer integration, and eventually reaching near instant finality with one second block times and no chain reorganizations. In the long term, the network aims to handle up to 100,000 transactions per second.

Network Activity and Revenue Trends

The upgrade comes as the network continues to show steady usage. A recent report from CoinGecko revealed that Polygon maintained consistent performance throughout most of 2025, averaging about 119 million transactions each month and around 7.4 million active users. Monthly transaction volumes generally ranged between 85 million and 110 million, while user numbers stayed between 6 million and 8 million.

Activity increased significantly toward the end of the year, with transactions rising from 116 million in October to 183 million in December. Although active users also grew during that period, they declined in early 2026 even as transaction levels remained elevated.

Network revenue also saw a notable rise in January 2026, reaching its highest level since early 2023. This growth was driven by strong demand for payment applications and increased trading activity on platforms such as Polymarket.

Earlier in the year, Polygon Labs reduced its workforce by 30 percent as part of a restructuring effort, following earlier layoffs in 2023 and 2024.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Over a five day period, the network handled more than 4 billion ADA in transactions, representing over 1 billion dollars in on chain activity. At the same time, wallets holding more than 10 million ADA have increased to 424. Data shared by Santiment shows this figure has grown by 5.2 percent in nine weeks despite the token’s continued price struggles.

There is a noticeable pattern of accumulation by large investors, yet the price has not responded. Santiment noted that ADA is only about 11 percent above its lowest level this year, recorded on February 5. Even with rising whale activity, the token still moves in line with the broader altcoin market in 2026. Continued accumulation during a period of low prices could eventually signal a bullish divergence.

Additional data from Tap Tools confirms that more than 4 billion ADA moved across the network within five days, reinforcing the idea that usage is increasing alongside accumulation.

This behavior among large holders is not new. Toward the end of March, analyst Ali Martinez reported that whales acquired roughly 220 million ADA in one week, bringing their combined holdings close to 14 billion tokens, or about 37 percent of the total supply.

Despite these developments, the price has shown little improvement. ADA is currently trading around 0.24 dollars, reflecting a drop of nearly 42 percent over the past three months and about 53 percent over the last year. It also remains about 92 percent below its peak above 3 dollars recorded four years ago. Trading activity has declined as well, falling nearly 17 percent in the past day to just over 361 million dollars, which is relatively low compared to assets like Solana and XRP that recorded significantly higher volumes during the same period.

From a bullish perspective, some analysts are watching key levels closely. Martinez identified 0.245 dollars as an important support zone, noting that similar levels in the past have led to gains of 85 percent and even 200 percent. Another market observer known as ALT GEMS Alert suggested a potential move above 0.60 dollars in the second quarter, although without detailed analysis.

On the other hand, the bearish outlook remains strong. ADA continues to trade below its 50 day, 100 day, and 200 day exponential moving averages, indicating a prevailing downward trend. A user known as gnarleyquinn argued that Cardano’s long term outlook is weakening, pointing to a decline in market dominance from about 4.5 percent in 2021 to roughly 0.3 percent today.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.nethttps://t.me/coinsignalpublic

A long term sentiment indicator for Bitcoin has dropped into deeply bearish territory, a level that analyst Joao Wedson believes often appears just before market bottoms form.

He explained that this phase, typically marked by widespread pessimism, exhausted retail traders, and overwhelmingly negative narratives, can create favorable conditions for experienced investors to begin accumulating.

In a recent post, Wedson highlighted that the 720 day Trend Barrier Bull Bear Indicator is now at strongly negative levels. Historically, this has occurred when liquidity has largely left the market and institutional players quietly start building positions.

Using the framework of Wyckoff Method, he noted that the current structure resembles a selling climax and final shakeout phase. In his view, this does not signal the beginning of a major decline but rather the final stages of one.

He added that while further downside is still possible, any additional drops are likely to be less severe. However, he did not rule out the chance of a sharp decline that could trigger one last wave of panic among investors.

According to Wedson, sentiment is expected to remain weak in the coming weeks, with Bitcoin either moving sideways or slipping slightly, creating a sense of discouragement in the market. He believes this period of low interest and fear could last for several more months, presenting a window for long term investors to accumulate.

Short term positioning data also reflects a fragile setup. Glassnode reported that Bitcoin is currently trading within a negative gamma zone between 65,000 and 70,000 dollars, where hedging activity by market makers can increase price swings. Resistance is forming near 72,000 dollars, while weaker support below leaves room for further downside if momentum fades.

Bitcoin recently moved above 70,000 dollars following reports of a possible ceasefire between the United States and Iran, but the move was short lived. The price quickly reversed and fell back to around 68,000 dollars, marking a decline of nearly 2 percent over the past day.

Another analyst, Axel Adler Jr., pointed to historical pricing levels to assess the current correction. He noted that Bitcoin is trading just above the 1.25 times realized price level at approximately 67,675 dollars, which often separates moderate pullbacks from deeper bear market conditions.

If Bitcoin can quickly recover this level after brief dips below it, a gradual move toward the 1.7 times realized price level near 92,038 dollars remains possible. However, if the price stays below 67,675 dollars for an extended period, the likelihood of a deeper decline toward the 54,000 to 58,000 dollar range would increase.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic