{"id":1026,"date":"2026-02-25T12:24:25","date_gmt":"2026-02-25T12:24:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/?p=1026"},"modified":"2026-02-25T12:24:25","modified_gmt":"2026-02-25T12:24:25","slug":"bitcoin-nearing-long-term-holder-pain-threshold-as-weakness-persists","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/2026\/02\/25\/bitcoin-nearing-long-term-holder-pain-threshold-as-weakness-persists\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Nearing Long Term Holder Pain Threshold as Weakness Persists"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"679\" height=\"452\" data-id=\"1027\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/IMG_1209-2.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1027\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/IMG_1209-2.jpeg 679w, https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/IMG_1209-2-300x200.jpeg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 679px) 100vw, 679px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin continues to trend lower, with analysts warning that prices are moving closer to levels that typically pressure long term holders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, long term holders, who are generally less reactive to short term volatility, are still sitting on average gains of about 74 percent. However, that margin is shrinking as Bitcoin approaches the estimated long term holder cost basis near 38,900 dollars. In previous cycles, bear markets have pushed prices below this level, often triggering a final capitulation phase marked by realized losses of roughly 20 percent before a recovery begins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Supporting this cautious outlook, Glassnode reported that the 90 day moving average of the Realized Profit Loss Ratio has fallen below 1. This signals a shift toward loss dominated selling, a condition that has historically lasted six months or longer before liquidity meaningfully returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analyst James Check noted that Bitcoin is close to printing five consecutive red monthly candles following the largest volatility spike of the current cycle. One week realized volatility surged above 150 percent, a level commonly associated with capitulation events, while the weekly RSI is among the most oversold readings in Bitcoin\u2019s history. Around 70 billion dollars worth of BTC has also changed hands in the 60,000 to 70,000 dollar range this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>James Van Straten added that roughly 10 million BTC are now in loss, the fourth highest level on record. With circulating supply nearing 20 million coins and about half currently underwater, he suggested that such capital destruction has historically aligned with bear market bottoms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin saw a modest rebound during early Asian trading on Wednesday, briefly reclaiming 66,000 dollars after adding about 2,000 dollars. Even so, sentiment remains fragile, and the broader structure still reflects lower highs, with 60,000 dollars acting as key support.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin continues to trend lower, with analysts warning that prices are moving closer to levels that typically pressure long term holders. According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost,&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1026","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1026","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1026"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1026\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1028,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1026\/revisions\/1028"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1026"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1026"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1026"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}