{"id":1153,"date":"2026-03-02T14:17:57","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T14:17:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/?p=1153"},"modified":"2026-03-02T14:17:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T14:17:57","slug":"arthur-hayes-outlines-how-us-iran-tensions-could-lift-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/2026\/03\/02\/arthur-hayes-outlines-how-us-iran-tensions-could-lift-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Arthur Hayes Outlines How US Iran Tensions Could Lift Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"576\" height=\"384\" data-id=\"1154\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/IMG_1678.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1154\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/IMG_1678.jpeg 576w, https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/IMG_1678-300x200.jpeg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 576px) 100vw, 576px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Arthur Hayes believes that military conflicts in the Middle East have historically led to looser monetary policy in the United States, a trend he says could ultimately benefit Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a March 1 essay, the BitMEX co founder argued that the latest US military escalation involving Iran follows a pattern seen over the past four decades. In his view, prolonged engagement increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates or expand the money supply to help finance war related costs. Hayes contends that such monetary easing tends to support higher Bitcoin prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>From Past Conflicts to Policy Shifts<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hayes referenced the 1990 Gulf War, noting that Federal Open Market Committee minutes from August of that year acknowledged how events in the Middle East complicated monetary policy decisions. Rate reductions followed later that year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He also highlighted the Federal Reserve\u2019s emergency response after the September 11 attacks in 2001, when then Chair Alan Greenspan lowered rates by 50 basis points, citing heightened fear and uncertainty affecting financial markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Recent geopolitical developments have already stirred crypto markets, which continue trading over weekends unlike traditional financial markets. After reports of strikes on February 28, Bitcoin dropped rapidly from about 66,000 dollars to roughly 63,600 dollars. It later rebounded to 67,000 dollars following reports of the death of Iran\u2019s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading near 66,800 dollars, down less than 1 percent on the day and up 2.8 percent over the past week. However, it remains more than 20 percent lower over the last month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>A Wait and See Approach<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hayes advises investors to focus less on short term volatility and more on the potential policy response from the Federal Reserve. He argues that every US president since the mid 1980s has engaged in military action in the Middle East, and the economic consequences have typically been addressed through looser monetary conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his view, the financial burden of extended foreign involvement often results in lower rates or increased money creation. The longer the current administration remains engaged, the higher the probability that the Fed will adjust policy to support broader objectives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given that Bitcoin has just recorded its fifth straight month of losses, including a decline of nearly 15 percent in February, Hayes recommends patience. He suggests that the more strategic opportunity to accumulate Bitcoin and other strong digital assets may come after the Federal Reserve formally cuts rates or resumes large scale liquidity expansion, rather than during the early stages of conflict driven uncertainty.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Arthur Hayes believes that military conflicts in the Middle East have historically led to looser monetary policy in the United States, a trend he says could&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1153","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1153","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1153"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1153\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1155,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1153\/revisions\/1155"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1153"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1153"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1153"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}