{"id":2287,"date":"2026-04-10T19:32:39","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T19:32:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/?p=2287"},"modified":"2026-04-10T19:32:39","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T19:32:39","slug":"analyst-says-bitcoin-may-surge-once-geopolitical-tensions-subside","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/2026\/04\/10\/analyst-says-bitcoin-may-surge-once-geopolitical-tensions-subside\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyst Says Bitcoin May Surge Once Geopolitical Tensions Subside"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Bitcoin moved back above 72,000 dollars on Friday following a temporary ceasefire between the United States and Iran, which helped lift sentiment across crypto markets, even though the agreement remains uncertain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to on chain analytics firm Santiment, the recent price increase is relatively minor in the bigger picture. However, the firm believes Bitcoin has strong upside potential once the geopolitical situation becomes clearer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So far this year, Bitcoin has underperformed compared to other major assets. It is down about 20 percent, while the S and P 500 has declined by around 2 percent and gold has gained roughly 9 percent. Despite this gap, analyst Brian Quinlivan views the disparity as an opportunity rather than a concern. He explained that a return to average performance levels could position Bitcoin for stronger gains than traditional markets if conditions improve.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ceasefire announced on April 8 helped push Bitcoin above 72,000 dollars, with additional momentum coming from reports that Iran may require cryptocurrency payments for passage through the Strait of Hormuz. This briefly drove the price closer to 73,000 dollars. However, as doubts emerged about the stability of the agreement, along with continued airstrikes and uncertainty around Israel\u2019s stance, Bitcoin pulled back toward 71,000 dollars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quinlivan estimated that as much as 80 percent of Bitcoin\u2019s performance next month could depend on whether the conflict in the Middle East shows signs of ending soon. A resolution, he noted, would likely restore confidence and encourage investors to begin accumulating again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He also pointed to past market behavior, noting that Bitcoin has historically rebounded strongly after periods of extreme uncertainty. During the early stages of the COVID pandemic in 2020, many expected the asset to collapse, yet it recovered sharply. A similar pattern followed the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried\u2019s exchange, when Bitcoin dropped below 16,000 dollars before later climbing above 100,000 dollars within two years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In both instances, investors who bought during periods of widespread pessimism were closest to identifying market bottoms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, larger Bitcoin holders have remained relatively inactive. Data from Santiment shows that wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC are at a four year low in terms of activity. While this is not necessarily negative, Quinlivan suggested that increased participation from these holders could benefit the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the other hand, smaller investors appear to be taking advantage of price dips. Wallets holding less than 0.01 BTC have been steadily accumulating. Santiment data indicates that the 365 day MVRV sits around minus 24 percent, a level that has historically signaled low risk buying opportunities. Despite this trend, these smaller holders still control only about 0.25 percent of the total Bitcoin supply.#crypto#cryptonews https:\/\/coinsignals.net<\/a> https:\/\/t.me\/coinsignalpublic<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin moved back above 72,000 dollars on Friday following a temporary ceasefire between the United States and Iran, which helped lift sentiment across crypto markets, even...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2287","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2287","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2287"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2287\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2289,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2287\/revisions\/2289"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2287"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2287"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2287"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}