{"id":984,"date":"2026-02-23T23:40:15","date_gmt":"2026-02-23T23:40:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/?p=984"},"modified":"2026-02-23T23:40:15","modified_gmt":"2026-02-23T23:40:15","slug":"bitcoin-death-cross-returns-as-analysts-warn-of-possible-drop-to-30000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/2026\/02\/23\/bitcoin-death-cross-returns-as-analysts-warn-of-possible-drop-to-30000\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin \u2018Death Cross\u2019 Returns as Analysts Warn of Possible Drop to $30,000"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"576\" height=\"303\" data-id=\"985\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/IMG_1403-3.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-985\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/IMG_1403-3.jpeg 576w, https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/IMG_1403-3-300x158.jpeg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 576px) 100vw, 576px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A major technical indicator that has historically signaled the final capitulation phase of Bitcoin bear markets is appearing once again. Analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted a potential death cross forming on the three day chart, a signal that in past cycles preceded Bitcoin\u2019s last significant decline before reaching a macro bottom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Martinez explained that the interaction between the 50 and 200 simple moving averages on the three day timeframe has consistently marked the final downward leg since 2014. After Bitcoin peaked in 2013, the asset fell more than 72 percent before a death cross formed in December 2014, followed by an additional 52 percent drop. A similar pattern unfolded after the 2017 high, when the signal appeared in November 2018 just before another 50 percent decline. In May 2022, after the 2021 peak, the same formation preceded a further 45 percent slide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin reached a new all time high above $126,000 in October 2025. However, the price has since retreated sharply and was trading slightly above $66,000 at the time of writing, nearly 48 percent below that record level. Martinez suggests that if the pattern repeats, even partially, a 30 percent decline from current levels could push Bitcoin toward $40,000, while a 50 percent drop could bring it close to $30,000. He also emphasized that historical similarities do not guarantee the same outcome, even if the broader structure resembles previous bear market setups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Recent market conditions have added to the pressure. Bitcoin is down roughly 2.5 percent over the past 24 hours, more than 4 percent over the last week, and nearly 27 percent in the past month. The decline intensified following U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s announcement of a temporary global tariff that was initially set at 10 percent and later raised to 15 percent, after the Supreme Court struck down several earlier tariffs introduced under a 1977 emergency law.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As seen during previous tariff driven volatility, Bitcoin\u2019s reaction was not immediate but accelerated once traditional futures markets opened. Data from analyst Axel Adler Jr. showed taker sell volume surged to $2.3 billion within a single hour, alongside forced liquidations of about 1,247 BTC valued at more than $81 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On chain data from Santiment confirmed the wave of liquidations, reporting that open interest dropped to $19.5 billion, less than half of its January peak. The sharp contraction in leverage has been accompanied by deeply negative sentiment, with the Bitcoin market entering what many traders describe as a period of fear, uncertainty, and doubt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A major technical indicator that has historically signaled the final capitulation phase of Bitcoin bear markets is appearing once again. Analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted a&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/984","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=984"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/984\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":986,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/984\/revisions\/986"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=984"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=984"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.coinsignals.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=984"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}