Why Bitcoin Serves as a Stronger Risk Indicator Than Private Equity

Private markets adjust their valuations infrequently and with limited transparency, while Bitcoin is priced continuously in a fully open market. This distinction becomes especially important during periods of financial stress.

Analyst Jamie Coutts has argued that Bitcoin’s transparent structure and real time pricing could reveal underlying weaknesses in private equity markets. His remarks come amid broader market pressure and declining crypto prices, prompting renewed debate over how risk is assessed across different asset classes.

Contrasting Bitcoin’s Transparency With Private Equity Opacity

In a series of posts on X, Coutts explained that private equity has historically softened the appearance of volatility by avoiding mark to market valuation practices. He referred to this as a form of volatility masking and warned that losses in such portfolios may remain hidden until market conditions deteriorate further.

He emphasized that the absence of mark to market pricing does not eliminate losses, but rather delays their recognition until it may be too late.

Coutts pointed to several warning signs in traditional markets. These include a rising MOVE Index, pressure on the US Dollar Index as it approaches the 100.50 level, and tightening credit conditions in sectors tied to private equity and artificial intelligence.

He also highlighted bearish technical patterns in equity markets, such as RSI divergences, where prices continue to rise even as underlying momentum weakens.

Against this backdrop, Coutts suggested that Bitcoin’s recent stability may be structural rather than demand driven. He pointed to a reset earlier in the year when excess leverage was cleared from the market, along with reduced derivatives activity that helped suppress volatility through 2025.

He further argued that Bitcoin continues to gain importance as weaknesses in the traditional fiat credit system become more apparent during repeated periods of stress.

However, he cautioned that if broader risk assets decline by around 10 percent to 15 percent, Bitcoin could revisit its lows from February, with a potential bottom forming later in the second or third quarter of 2026.

The analyst also noted that while inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds increased in March, there are signs that this momentum may already be slowing. Data from SoSoValue shows that daily net flows for these funds have turned negative since March 18, following seven consecutive days of inflows totaling just over 1.1 billion dollars.

Weak Sentiment Across the Crypto Market

Recent remarks by Donald Trump, in which he threatened severe action against Iran’s power infrastructure, pushed Bitcoin below 68,000 dollars for the first time since March 9.

The asset has since recovered and was trading above 71,000 dollars at the time of writing following further developments. Despite this rebound, Bitcoin remains down nearly 17 percent compared to a year ago and has fallen close to 7 percent over the past week, although it still shows a modest gain of about 3 percent over a two week period.

Market sentiment remains fragile, with the Fear and Greed Index sitting at 8, a level that reflects extreme fear, even though Bitcoin is still trading more than 15 percent above its February lows near 60,000 dollars.

Coutts maintained that Bitcoin stands apart from private equity in such an environment. While private markets depend on periodic and less transparent valuations, Bitcoin trades continuously with fully visible transactions.

He concluded that if traditional portfolios are forced to revalue more frequently, assets like Bitcoin that operate with transparent pricing are likely to respond more quickly. When liquidity conditions improve, Bitcoin may also react sooner than other assets, reflecting its sensitivity to shifts in the broader financial landscape.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Ethereum Moves Into a Key Accumulation Zone as On Chain Indicators Signal a Rare Buying Opportunity

Ethereum’s MVRV ratio falling below 0.8 is widely viewed as a historical signal that the asset may be undervalued.

Ethereum briefly declined to around 2,080 dollars after a weekend sell off driven by rising tensions in the Middle East. Despite this pressure, the asset rebounded on Monday with a 5 percent gain, pushing its price to about 2,140 dollars after United States President Donald Trump described recent discussions with Iran as very good and productive.

At the same time, new data suggests that Ethereum may now be entering a strong accumulation phase.

Growing Case for Accumulation

According to recent analysis by crypto expert Ali Martinez, Ethereum is approaching a crucial accumulation range between 2,000 dollars and 1,800 dollars. This zone is supported by a combination of technical patterns and on chain indicators. He explained that Ethereum continues to trade within a clearly defined ascending triangle on the weekly chart, which often signals a buildup before a larger move.

This price action aligns with a notable shift in on chain data, particularly the MVRV ratio dropping below 0.8. Historically, this level has been linked to periods when Ethereum is considered undervalued, and similar conditions in the past have often come before strong market rallies. The overlap between price support and this on chain reset adds weight to the argument that this is a favorable accumulation zone.

In terms of momentum, Ethereum is beginning to show early signs of a possible trend reversal. The Supertrend indicator on the daily chart has turned positive for the first time since May of the previous year, suggesting that the extended period of consolidation could be nearing its end.

As Ethereum attempts to recover, several key resistance levels have emerged based on MVRV pricing bands. The first major barrier stands at 2,356 dollars. If the price moves beyond this level, it could pave the way toward intermediate targets at 2,647 dollars and 3,639 dollars. Further upward movement could then lead to higher expansion zones at 4,632 dollars and 5,624 dollars.

Support Structure Around 1,800 Dollars

Martinez also noted that a sustained move above 2,356 dollars would signal a shift out of the current accumulation phase. A return to the previous all time high region near 4,900 dollars could then confirm a broader structural breakout.

Until such developments occur, the range between 2,000 dollars and 1,800 dollars remains the primary focus for investors. Within this range, the 1,800 dollar level is expected to act as a strong support floor that reinforces the ongoing accumulation outlook.

Separate data also indicates that Ethereum’s Sharpe ratio is pointing toward the possibility that the market may be forming a local bottom.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Bitcoin Leads the Market as Ethereum Ends Its Positive Run During a Volatile 230 Million Dollar Week

Bitcoin remained the dominant force in weekly activity, while Ethereum brought an end to its recent run of consistent gains.

Digital asset investment products recorded net inflows of 230 million dollars last week, reflecting a slower pace compared to recent trends. While geopolitical concerns involving Iran weighed on investor sentiment, CoinShares indicated that the stronger influence came from the United States Federal Reserve meeting held on Wednesday and its signal of a cautious but firm policy stance.

Data from the week highlights a sharp change in momentum. The market started on a strong note, with 635 million dollars flowing in خلال the first two days. However, sentiment shifted significantly following the Federal Open Market Committee announcement, which triggered outflows of 405 million dollars. By the end of the week, conditions had stabilized as selling pressure eased going into Friday.

Mixed Sentiment Around Bitcoin

According to CoinShares’ latest Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report, Bitcoin led investment activity with 219 million dollars in inflows. At the same time, products designed to benefit from a decline in Bitcoin still attracted 6 million dollars, underscoring continued division in investor outlook toward the asset.

Solana maintained its positive momentum, drawing in 17 million dollars and extending its inflow streak to seven consecutive weeks. This brought its cumulative total over that period to 136 million dollars.

Other digital assets also recorded modest gains. Chainlink attracted 4.6 million dollars, while Hyperliquid followed closely with 4.5 million dollars. XRP saw inflows of 2.9 million dollars, and Sui added 1.5 million dollars. In contrast, Ethereum experienced outflows totaling 27.5 million dollars, bringing an end to three straight weeks of steady investor demand.

Regional data showed broadly positive participation across markets. The United States led with inflows of 153 million dollars. Germany and Switzerland followed with notable contributions of 30.2 million dollars and 27.5 million dollars respectively. Canada and Australia posted smaller but still positive inflows of 9.3 million dollars and 3.9 million dollars.

Bitcoin Rebounds as Market Reacts to Easing Tensions

Bitcoin rose above 71,400 dollars on Monday alongside the broader cryptocurrency market. This movement followed comments from United States President Donald Trump, who stated that the United States and Iran had engaged in very good and productive discussions aimed at reducing tensions in the Middle East.

Following these remarks, Bitcoin gained more than 4 percent over a 24 hour period as markets responded to signs that geopolitical risks could ease.

Analysts at Bitunix noted that Bitcoin is likely to remain within a constrained range until there is greater stability in energy supply chains and clearer policy direction. They explained that resistance remains above the 74,000 dollar level, while demand below continues to be uneven.

According to their outlook, Bitcoin’s price swings will continue to be influenced more by external macroeconomic factors than by internal market trends for the foreseeable future.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Bitcoin Experiences Sharp Volatility as Iran Denies Trump’s De escalation Claims

Daily liquidations have surged again, reaching around 800 million dollars.

The cryptocurrency market has once more reacted quickly to major global developments, with the latest price swings highlighting its sensitivity to geopolitical news.

Earlier, Bitcoin surged by roughly 3,000 dollars within minutes after Donald Trump announced that his team had held productive discussions with Iranian officials and agreed to pause military actions against Iran’s power infrastructure for five days while talks continued.

However, the rally was short lived. Iranian authorities quickly rejected these claims, stating that there had been no direct or indirect communication with Trump. They also accused him of attempting to buy time in a conflict that was not progressing as expected.

Officials in Iran further claimed that the United States stepped back from potential strikes after receiving firm warnings. They added that the Strait of Hormuz would not return to normal conditions while psychological pressure tactics persist.

Market Reacts to Conflicting Statements

Following Iran’s response, Bitcoin reversed its gains almost immediately. After reaching a recent high of 71,500 dollars, the price dropped by around 2,000 dollars within minutes before stabilizing near 70,000 dollars.

The heightened volatility has continued to impact leveraged traders, with more than 200,000 positions liquidated over the past 24 hours. Data from CoinGlass shows that total liquidations have climbed to approximately 800 million dollars.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

SIREN Surges to New All Time High Above 3 Dollars as Bitcoin Drops to Two Week Low

SIREN continues to stand out among the top 100 altcoins, delivering consistent double digit gains while the broader market struggles.

The price of Bitcoin extended its decline from Sunday over the past 12 hours, falling below 67,500 dollars for the first time since March 9 following recent developments in the Middle East.

Most large cap altcoins have mirrored this trend, recording losses of around 2 to 3 percent خلال the same period. However, SIREN has continued to move independently of the broader market.

Bitcoin Falls to 67,500 Dollars

At the start of the previous business week, Bitcoin was trading near 70,500 dollars before rallying strongly past the 74,000 dollar resistance level and reaching a six week high of 76,000 dollars on Tuesday morning. The upward momentum slowed afterward, though the asset remained close to 74,000 dollars by Wednesday.

Prices declined ahead of the second Federal Open Market Committee meeting of the year, dropping to around 71,000 dollars. Bitcoin briefly recovered to 72,000 dollars after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, but turned lower again following a hawkish speech by Jerome Powell. The decline pushed the price down to 69,000 dollars before a short recovery above 70,000 dollars over the weekend.

The asset briefly touched 71,000 dollars on Sunday morning, but renewed geopolitical tension after comments from Donald Trump triggered another sell off, sending Bitcoin toward 68,000 dollars across major exchanges. Selling pressure intensified earlier today, driving the price to a two week low just under 67,500 dollars. It has since recovered slightly above 68,000 dollars, though its market capitalization has dropped to around 1.36 trillion dollars, with market dominance at approximately 56.4 percent.

SIREN Outperforms the Market

In contrast to the broader downturn, SIREN, an artificial intelligence focused token built on the BNB Chain, has delivered exceptional performance in recent days. The token has continued its strong upward trend with another double digit gain in the past 24 hours.

SIREN is up roughly 1,230 percent over the past month and recently reached a new all time high above 3.60 dollars before pulling back to around 3 dollars.

Meanwhile, most major altcoins remain under pressure. Ethereum, XRP, Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, and Chainlink have all declined by around 2 to 3 percent.

A few assets such as Monero have managed to stay in positive territory, but the overall market remains under pressure, with tokens like Mantle, Sky, Bitget Token, and Sui continuing to decline.

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization is struggling to stay above 2.4 trillion dollars, down by roughly 200 billion dollars since last Tuesday’s peak.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.nethttps://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Four Key Factors That Could Influence Bitcoin and Crypto Markets This Week

A packed schedule awaits on the United States economic calendar as markets continue to react to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and concerns over global fuel shortages.

Crypto markets started the week on a negative note in Asia, with fear, uncertainty, and doubt returning to the space. At the same time, United States stock futures declined at the open as investors responded to Donald Trump issuing a 48 hour deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

There is also growing discussion about possible interest rate increases as inflation risks rise due to higher oil prices and supply constraints. While WTI crude dropped below 100 dollars, Brent crude remained elevated at around 112 dollars per barrel.

Key Economic Events This Week

The March purchasing managers index report is set for release on Wednesday. This data will provide insight into how the conflict has affected business activity and market sentiment. Economists at Deutsche Bank noted that it will be one of the first indicators reflecting economic conditions since the conflict began.

On Thursday, the initial jobless claims report will offer a snapshot of labor market health, a key factor guiding decisions by the Federal Reserve. According to James Knightley from ING, the Federal Reserve is still more likely to consider rate cuts rather than increases.

Friday will bring reports on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations for March, providing further insight into overall economic conditions. Ryan Sweet of Oxford Economics highlighted that rising fuel prices are likely to weigh heavily on consumers. He explained that even a small increase in gasoline prices can significantly reduce consumer spending over time.

Rising inflation and reduced consumer spending typically create pressure on high risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Crypto Markets Under Pressure

This trend is already visible as the broader crypto market continues to decline, with most digital assets erasing gains made during last week’s rally. Total market capitalization has fallen by about 1.3 percent to 2.42 trillion dollars during Monday morning trading in Asia.

Bitcoin dropped below 68,000 dollars on Sunday before recovering slightly above that level by Monday. However, ongoing economic pressure could push prices lower in the near term.

Ethereum has also shown weakness, falling to around 2,033 dollars before a modest rebound. It may struggle to stay above the 2,000 dollar level this week.

Other major cryptocurrencies are also in decline, with notable losses seen in XRP, Cardano, Hyperliquid, and Stellar.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Saylor’s Strategy Adds Over 1,000 BTC Despite Growing Unrealized Losses

The company carried out its latest bitcoin purchase at relatively high price levels, even as the asset dropped sharply midweek.

The world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin remains undeterred by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continuing its pattern of announcing new acquisitions every Monday.

According to figures shared by Michael Saylor, the latest purchase was made during the early part of the previous business week at an average price of 74,326 dollars. Bitcoin had been trading above 74,000 dollars by Wednesday morning before experiencing a sharp decline around the time of the second Federal Open Market Committee meeting of the year.

Despite the market downturn, MicroStrategy, now operating as Strategy, increased its total holdings to 762,099 BTC after acquiring an additional 1,031 BTC for 76.6 million dollars. The company has spent approximately 57.69 billion dollars in total to build its bitcoin position.

This latest purchase is notably smaller than the one announced the previous week, when the firm revealed it had spent 1.57 billion dollars to acquire 22,337 BTC.

Even with continued accumulation, the company remains in a significant unrealized loss position due to bitcoin’s recent decline below 70,000 dollars. This follows a brief rally toward 71,500 dollars, which came after comments from Donald Trump regarding the situation in Iran, before prices moved lower again.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Bitcoin Surges After Trump Signals De escalation in Iran Conflict

More than 260 million dollars in short positions were wiped out within a single hour as the market reacted sharply.

The price of Bitcoin reversed its recent downward movement in the past hour, jumping by about 3,000 dollars from its low to reach 71,500 dollars before easing slightly.

The sudden rally followed a major announcement from Donald Trump regarding tensions involving Iran, the United States, and Israel. In a statement shared on his social media platform, Trump said that the US and Iran had engaged in constructive discussions over the past two days aimed at fully resolving hostilities in the Middle East.

He added that, based on the positive tone of these talks, he had instructed the Department of War to delay any planned military action against Iranian energy infrastructure for five days, depending on the outcome of ongoing negotiations.

This marks the most notable step toward easing tensions since the conflict began nearly a month ago. It also comes shortly after Trump had warned of severe consequences if Iran failed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Market Reacts Instantly

Bitcoin responded immediately to the news. The asset had earlier fallen below 68,500 dollars before quickly climbing to 71,500 dollars, its highest level since last Thursday.

Although the price has pulled back slightly, it remains close to 71,000 dollars. The rapid upward move caught many short traders off guard, leading to nearly 270 million dollars in liquidations within an hour.

According to data from CoinGlass, total liquidations for the day have reached around 780 million dollars, with more than 200,000 traders affected by the sudden market shift.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

ZachXBT Exposes Network Using Political Fear to Promote Crypto Scams

Crypto scammers are adopting new tactics to attract victims by exploiting emotionally charged and trending topics to drive engagement.

In a recent thread on X, respected on chain investigator ZachXBT revealed a coordinated group of more than ten accounts that have been spreading viral fear related to war and politics in order to funnel users into cryptocurrency scams.

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has dominated online discussions, and according to ZachXBT, some actors are taking advantage of this attention to deceive users and steal funds.

How the Scheme Operates

ZachXBT explained that the operation follows a structured approach. The individuals behind it first acquire social media accounts that already have established followings. They then begin posting large volumes of highly negative content each day, a tactic often referred to as doomposting, which is designed to provoke strong emotional reactions and increase engagement.

Next, the same content is amplified through additional accounts, while posts promoting fake giveaways or direct scams are introduced. After completing these steps, the operators often change their usernames to avoid detection.

Why the Tactic Is Effective

The success of this scheme largely depends on social engineering. Users are more likely to react to and interact with negative or alarming content than positive updates. ZachXBT noted that several large accounts unknowingly contributed to the spread by engaging with these posts in the comments, which increased their visibility and reach.

He also identified at least ten accounts within the network that promoted pump and dump schemes. Based on on chain data, he estimates that the operation generated profits in the six figure range.

ZachXBT raised concerns about the broader implications of this tactic. He warned that if a more sophisticated actor, such as a nation state, were to use a similar strategy, the impact could be far more serious. He argued that manipulating platforms in this way should lead to bans and potential legal consequences, especially as many users continue to fall victim to misleading information and scams online.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic

Worse Than the COVID Era? Analyst Warns Bitcoin Could Be Approaching a Historic Crash

A well known market analyst has described Bitcoin’s recent rebound as a potential bull trap and cautioned that a deeper correction may be on the horizon as broader market conditions weaken.

Rising tensions in the Middle East are adding pressure to global financial markets. At the same time, Bitcoin is facing renewed fears of a significant downturn, with investors preparing for further declines across risk sensitive assets.

The warning comes as Bitcoin continues to show weakness after falling over the weekend and dropping below 68,000 dollars on Monday.

Concerns Over a Major Downturn

A widely followed analyst known as Doctor Profit has suggested that Bitcoin could experience a decline even more severe than the market crash during the COVID-19 market crash, often referred to as Black Thursday. During that period in March 2020, Bitcoin lost more than half its value in a single day, falling from around 8,000 dollars to nearly 3,750 dollars amid widespread panic in global markets.

Current price trends appear to reflect similar pressure, with Bitcoin trading more than 46 percent below its all time high reached last year. The analyst warned that market participants should be prepared for a major downturn affecting not only crypto but also traditional assets.

This outlook follows comments made a day earlier, where Doctor Profit maintained that Bitcoin remains within a broader bearish trend.

Signs of Further Weakness

According to the analyst, Bitcoin has been moving within a wide range between 57,000 dollars and 87,000 dollars after dropping from the 115,000 to 125,000 dollar region down to around 60,000 dollars. Within this structure, the recent rise to 76,000 dollars followed by a sharp fall below 68,000 dollars was identified as a bull trap that could precede further declines.

He highlighted the 79,000 to 84,000 dollar zone as a key resistance and liquidity area where traders may look to open additional short positions.

In the near term, Bitcoin lacks a clear directional trend, contributing to ongoing sideways movement. However, the broader pattern still suggests another downward move, potentially pushing the price back toward the 57,000 to 60,000 dollar range. Short term rallies are viewed as liquidity driven moves that temporarily push prices higher before continuing downward.

Although brief upward movements are still possible, the analyst sees them as opportunities to increase bearish positions rather than signals of a sustained recovery.

Doctor Profit also pointed to macroeconomic factors shaping the current risk environment. These include delayed expectations for interest rate cuts, rising inflation signals, and increasing liquidity pressure, all of which are contributing to a more cautious market outlook.#crypto#cryptonews https://coinsignals.net https://t.me/coinsignalpublic